GPT‑6 is coming? OpenAI signs a “betting deal” to reach $5 trillion market value in 15 years
Breakup with Microsoft, AGI Progress, and Product Matrix — OpenAI Hits Full Speed


OpenAI has completed a major corporate restructuring and secured a $500 billion valuation, resolving its long-standing tension between for-profit and non-profit models. This landmark move provides a clear and sustainable growth path for the company.
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New Structure: Two Core Entities

OpenAI now consists of:
- OpenAI Foundation — A non-profit entity.
- OpenAI Group PBC — A public-benefit corporation handling commercial operations.
OpenAI Foundation:
- Holds shares in OpenAI Group.
- Allocates ownership proportionally to shareholders.
- Invests $25 billion into AI safety and AI infrastructure research.
OpenAI Group PBC:
- Focuses on fundraising and commercialization.
- Covers AI R&D, talent, and infrastructure deployment costs.
Both entities share the same mission: ensuring AI benefits all humanity.
Shareholding after restructuring:
- OpenAI Foundation: 26% (~$130 billion value).
- Microsoft: 27%.
- Employees & investors: 47%.

OpenAI shareholder distribution — Source: GeekPark
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01 — Three Strategic Moves That Solved the Restructuring Dilemma
1. Future Warrant for the Foundation
- The Foundation gains extra shares if OpenAI Group’s valuation hits $5 trillion in 15 years.
- This performance-based agreement keeps investors motivated without diluting current shares.
- Ensures commercial success directly funds the nonprofit mission.
2. Simplified Share Structure
- All shareholders now hold traditional stock.
- Removes restrictions on investment returns.
- Makes fundraising easier and sets the stage for a potential IPO.
3. Microsoft Cooperation Reset
Microsoft outlined changes in how they will collaborate with OpenAI:
- Decoupling: Both can work with other partners independently.
- Collaboration: Microsoft remains a key model partner until at least 2032. Consumer hardware is excluded from Microsoft IP rights. OpenAI commits to an additional $250B Azure purchase — but Microsoft loses priority computing provider status.
- Timeline: Revenue-sharing continues until OpenAI reaches the “AGI moment.”
Microsoft’s Position:
With investments < $15B, Microsoft gained ~10x capital return, strengthened its cloud business, and secured OpenAI as a major long-term client.
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Insight: This restructuring aligns values, incentives, and governance.
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02 — What's Next for OpenAI?
In a 90-minute livestream, CEO Sam Altman laid out OpenAI’s next steps.
Product Matrix: Becoming a Platform
- From AI assistants inside ChatGPT to building an AI Cloud platform.
- Goal: Let others build products/services on top of OpenAI tech.
- Bill Gates’ principle: A platform is proven when builders create more value than the platform owner.

Principles for AI platforms:
- User Freedom: Anyone should use AI to meet their needs.
- Privacy Protection: AI will access deeply personal data — requiring strong technical safeguards.

Security Measures:
- Building an AI Resilience Layer to stop AI-generated viruses.
- Coordinated multi-model defense ecosystem.
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Why Invest $25B in AI Healthcare & Infrastructure?

Sam Altman’s timeline:
- Small breakthroughs: By 2026.
- Medium/major breakthroughs: Possible by 2028.
AI Infrastructure Progress
- Compute cost remains high — even with strong progress.
- Cooperation with AMD, Broadcom, Google, Microsoft, NVIDIA, Oracle, SoftBank to reduce costs.

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Governance Structure
- OpenAI Foundation Board Members: Bret Taylor (Chair), Adam D'Angelo, Dr. Sue Desmond-Hellmann, Dr. Zico Kolter, Gen. Paul M. Nakasone, Adebayo Ogunlesi, Nicole Seligman, Larry Summers, and Sam Altman.
- Foundation appoints all OpenAI Group board members.
- Safety and Security Committee (SSC) oversees safety practices.
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03 — Viewer Q&A Highlights: GPT‑6, AGI, and Revenue
GPT‑6 Timeline:
- Current focus: integration, interface, IP issues.
- GPT‑5 boosted prediction ability — GPT‑6 could be released in 2–5 years, possibly with major upgrades.
AGI Progress:
- No clear path yet.
- Aim: Autonomous large-scale research projects within a year.
- Five years after ChatGPT launch — an AI capable of human-level research.
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Human–AI Alignment:
- Both cognitive and value alignment are key.
- OpenAI is experimenting with less supervision on internal reasoning during training to preserve authenticity.
Revenue Goals:
- Target: Trillion-dollar range.
- Multiple streams: subscriptions, hardware, and science-driven products.
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Conclusion
OpenAI’s restructuring has:
- Unified profit & mission priorities.
- Strengthened governance.
- Opened the door for future platform expansion and AGI research.
A new chapter is beginning — both for OpenAI, and for creators in the global AI ecosystem.
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Header image: OpenAI official site
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Geek Q
What’s your view on OpenAI's recent restructuring?



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