NVIDIA and OpenAI: The Modern East India Companies

NVIDIA and OpenAI: The Modern East India Companies

Who Has Been the Most Valuable Public Company in Earth's History?

The Modern Contender: NVIDIA

In October, NVIDIA briefly exceeded $5 trillion in market capitalization — making it the highest-valued U.S. public company in history.

For a moment, its combined worth nearly matched Apple + Tesla.

However, NVIDIA is not the most valuable company in human history when measured by purchasing power parity.

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The Historical Champion: The Dutch East India Company (VOC)

Founded over 300 years ago in Amsterdam, VOC was the world’s first joint-stock company, listed on the world’s first official stock exchange.

Key facts:

  • Peak value: 78 million Dutch guilders (~$7.9 trillion in today’s terms)
  • Economic size: Roughly two-thirds of the Dutch Republic’s GDP at its peak
  • Global dominance: Monopoly over 17th-century spice trade
  • Financial supremacy: Dutch guilder was the de facto settlement currency in Europe

In its era, Netherlands was "Europe’s America" — technologically advanced, economically dominant, and globally connected.

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Drawing Parallels: VOC vs. NVIDIA

In today’s terms:

  • U.S. GDP (2024): ~$30 trillion
  • NVIDIA market cap: ~1/6 of U.S. GDP
  • Role in AGI: Monopoly-like power in global computing infrastructure

Nicknames for NVIDIA in the AGI era:

  • The central bank of GPUs
  • The Federal Reserve of compute power

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1. Seigniorage — Control Over the Medium & Flow

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Seigniorage = Profit from issuing currency or its modern equivalent (compute power).

When this power is globally mandatory, it becomes “Dollar-level” influence.

Historical parallel:

  • East India Companies had seigniorage authority — printed money, directed economic flows, built local economic systems.
  • NVIDIA issues its “currency” as compute power:
  • Anchors Silicon Valley’s AI ecosystem
  • Invests heavily in companies that buy NVIDIA GPUs
  • Builds a supplier-customer-investor triangle

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NVIDIA’s Recent Investment Portfolio (≥ $150B committed)

AI Companies:

OpenAI ($100B), xAI ($2B), Mistral AI, Perplexity, Safe Superintelligence, Runway, Cohere, Reflection AI, Scale AI, Sakana AI, Kore.ai...

Chip-related:

Intel ($5B), Ayar Labs, Enfabrica...

Cloud & Vertical Applications:

Nokia ($1B), CoreWeave, Nscale, Lambda Labs, Bright Machines...

Robotics & Autonomous Driving:

Figure AI, Wayve, Nuro...

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Modern Digital Currency: Compute Power

Platforms like AiToEarn官网 show how this power plays out — enabling global AI-driven content creation & monetization across:

> Douyin, Kwai, WeChat, Bilibili, Rednote, Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn, Threads, YouTube, Pinterest, X.

Integrated tools:

  • AI generation
  • Cross-platform publishing
  • Data analytics
  • AI model rankings (AI模型排名)

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AGI Ecosystem: Bretton Woods & Marshall Plan Parallels

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  • Bretton Woods System: Anchored to USD — global settlement & finance institutions
  • Marshall Plan: U.S.-driven investment for postwar reconstruction

NVIDIA’s AGI order:

  • Anchored to GPU
  • Governed by CUDA
  • Expanded via investment-driven ecosystem growth

CUDA developer growth:

  • 2007–2019: 1.6M developers
  • June 2024: 5M+ developers

Lock-in effect: Bypassing CUDA in AI development is practically impossible.

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2. “Data Colonizers”

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Parallel:

  • VOC vs. EIC rivalry — monopoly vs. secondary players (spice vs. opium trade)
  • NVIDIA vs. OpenAI — upstream infrastructure vs. downstream applications

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Data Colonialism (AGI Era):

  • Raw data taken from Global South countries (e.g., India)
  • Labeled cheaply by local engineers
  • Packaged as AI output sold back to the same markets

Policy response: India and other nations exploring sovereign AI with open-source models like DeepSeek.

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The “Bubble” Effect

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  • East India Company: State-backed monopoly, stable dividends, predictable growth
  • AGI era tech giants: Similar market dominance & asset amplification

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Market cap scale shift:

| Year | Top Tech Total | U.S. GDP |

|-------|----------------|-----------|

| 2019 | ~$6T | $21T |

| 2025 | ~$25T+ | $29T |

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Sovereign AI — U.S. National Strategy

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Examples:

  • NVIDIA & U.S. Department of Energy: AI superfactories (“Equinox”)
  • OpenAI ‘for countries’ initiative: 4 key efforts:
  • Build national compute centers
  • Deploy custom ChatGPT
  • Operate national AI entrepreneurship funds
  • Expand global Stargate project

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NVIDIA’s "Sovereign AI" Vision

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Revenue trajectory:

  • 2023: $10B
  • 2024: $20B
  • Future: $100B+ potential

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Conclusion — AGI & New Colonialism

  • The AGI boom may lead to winner-takes-all monopolies
  • Systemic risks disproportionately affect non-U.S. countries
  • Extractive models risk civilization-scale impact

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Alternative Path: Open-Source Ecosystems

AiToEarn官网 offers:

  • AI content creation
  • Cross-platform monetization
  • Independence from supergiant-controlled ecosystems
  • Transparent analytics & model ranking (AI模型排名)

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Key Insight:

Control over either currency or compute, combined with controlling its flow, has defined monopoly power from the VOC to NVIDIA.

The question for the AGI era: Can open-source, distributed innovation avert a new wave of digital colonialism?

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